Comparing AP poll ranking to CFP odds


Dec 7, 2024; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs running back Nate Frazier (3) fumbles the ball against Texas Longhorns defensive back Andrew Mukuba (4) during the second half in the 2024 SEC Championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Some people want to do away with preseason polls.

They point to the season-long advantages early-ranked teams receive, and they point to the inaccuracies the polls perennially produce.

Last year, 13 of the preseason AP Top 25 teams finished outside of the AP Top 25 final rankings.

As always, there are some significant disparities between which teams the pollsters view as contenders and which teams the bookmakers view as contenders.

SportsBetting.ag has put together a table comparing the AP rankings to the CFP Championship odds rankings, which you can find below.

Notes:

– No. 12 Arizona State has worse CFP odds than 14 teams ranked below the Sun Devils

– No. 13 Illinois has worse CFP odds than 16 teams ranked below the Illini

– No. 6 Georgia has the second-lowest CFP odds

– No. 19 Oklahoma has the 14th-best CFP odds

– No. 20 Texas A&M is tied for the 11th-best CFP odds

– No. 25 Boise State has the worst CFP odds of any ranked team

– Auburn has the best CFP odds of unranked teams and better odds than 9 ranked teams

– USC has the second-best CFP odds of unranked teams and better odds than 8 ranked teams

– Five unranked teams have Top 25 CFP odds rankings

CFP title odds are updated every day of the season here: https://www.sportsbetting.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaf-futures/college-football-championship

Team AP Ranking CFP Odds Ranking CFP Title Odds
Texas 1 1 6/1
Penn State 2 T-3 7/1
Ohio State 3 T-3 7/1
Clemson 4 5 8/1
Georgia 5 2 13/2
Notre Dame 6 7 10/1
Oregon 7 9 14/1
Alabama 8 6 9/1
LSU 9 8 12/1
Miami (FL) 10 10 25/1
Arizona State 11 T-25 125/1
Illinois 12 T-28 150/1
South Carolina 13 T-17 66/1
Michigan 14 T-11 33/1
Florida 15 T-11 33/1
SMU 16 T-21 100/1
Kansas State 17 T-21 100/1
Oklahoma 18 14 40/1
Texas A&M 19 T-11 33/1
Indiana 20 T-25 125/1
Ole Miss 21 15 50/1
Iowa State 22 T-34 200/1
Texas Tech 23 T-21 100/1
Tennessee 24 19 75/1
Boise State 25 36 250/1
————- ————- ————- ————-
Auburn N/A 16 60/1
USC N/A T-17 66/1
Louisville N/A 20 80/1
Utah N/A T-21 100/1
Nebraska N/A T-25 125/1
Baylor N/A T-28 150/1
Georgia Tech N/A T-28 150/1
Iowa N/A T-28 150/1
Missouri N/A T-28 150/1
TCU N/A T-28 150/1
Washington N/A T-34 200/1

Matt Moscona

Publisher