LSU surges, Alabama tumbles in CFP playoff odds


Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images

No team made a bigger jump in their College Football Playoff odds after Week 1 than LSU. After beating Clemson on the road, the Tigers saw their CFP odds increase 21.97%. Brian Kelly squad is now -175 (63.64%)to make the 12-team field.

On the other hand, after their blowout loss at Florida State, Alabama’s odds tumbled 24.64% to +175. Kalen DeBoer’s team is now a longs hot with just a 36.36% chance of making the field.

There are four columns for the spreadsheet below:

  1. Fractional odds (currently)
  2. Moneyline odds (currently)
  3. % chance according to the odds to make the playoff (currently)
  4. % chance change from opening odds to make the playoff

To make 12-Team Playoff

Odds

Moneyline

Playoff %

Playoff % change

Ohio State

1/10

-1000

90.91%

+14.54%

Penn State

1/5

-500

83.33%

+12.74%

Georgia

4/11

-275

73.33%

-1.90%

Oregon

1/2

-200

66.67%

-5.55%

Texas

10/19

-190

65.52%

-9.48%

LSU

4/7

-175

63.64%

+21.97%

Notre Dame

10/17

-170

62.96%

+2.96%

Clemson

10/13

-130

56.52%

0%

Miami FL

20/21

-105

51.52%

+18.19%

Alabama

7/4

+175

36.36%

-24.64%

Ole Miss

2/1

+200

33%

-8.67%

Michigan

11/5

+220

31.25%

0%

Auburn

12/5

+240

29.41%

+8.36%

Texas A&M

12/5

+240

29.41%

0%

Florida

5/2

+250

28.57%

+8.57%

Tennessee

3/1

+300

25%

-5.77%

Utah

3/1

+300

25%

+8.33%

Oklahoma

13/4

+325

23.53%

+7.53%

Louisville

15/4

+375

21.05%

-2.21%

USC

15/4

+375

21.05%

+5.67%

Texas Tech

4/1

+400

20%

+2.61%

Arizona State

17/4

+425

19.05%

+0.93%

Florida State

9/2

+450

18.18%

+10.49%

SMU

19/4

+475

17.39%

-4.83%

Iowa State

5/1

+500

16.67%

+7.58%

TCU

11/2

+550

15.38%

+5.38%

Indiana

6/1

+600

14.29%

+0.50%

Georgia Tech

6/1

+600

14.29%

+2.53%

South Carolina

15/2

+750

11.76%

-8.24%

Missouri

15/2

+750

11.76%

+3.05%

Illinois

31/4

+775

11.43%

-2.35%

Kansas

33/4

+825

10.81%

+3.12%

Baylor

9/1

+900

10%

-4.81%

Washington

9/1

+900

10%

+0.48%

Nebraska

10/1

+1000

9.09%

-3.81%

Iowa

10/1

+1000

9.09%

-3.41%

Duke

12/1

+1200

7.69%

0%

Kansas State

14/1

+1400

6.67%

-10.72%

BYU

14/1

+1400

6.67%

-6.66%

Memphis

8/1

+1400

6.67%

-4.44%

Tulane

8/1

+1400

6.67%

-4.44%

James Madison

16/1

+1600

5.88%

-1,81%

Liberty

16/1

+1600

5.88%

-2.45%

Minnesota

16/1

+1600

5.88%

-0.79%

UNLV

16/1

+1600

5.88%

-0.62%

Colorado

18/1

+1800

5.26%

-0.62%

Houston

18/1

+1800

5.26%

-0.62%

Pittsburgh

18/1

+1800

5.26%

0%

California

25/1

+2500

3.85%

+0.40%

Michigan State

25/1

+2500

3.85%

-1.41%

Navy

25/1

+2500

3.85%

-1.41%

NC State

25/1

+2500

3.85%

-2.03%

Texas State

25/1

+2500

3.85%

-1.41%

North Texas

28/1

+2800

3.45%

-1.49%

Arkansas

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0,91%

Boston College

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0.51%

Oklahoma State

33/1

+3300

2.94%

0%

South Florida

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0.50%

UCF

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0,91%

UCLA

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0,91%

UTSA

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-1.41%

Vanderbilt

33/1

+3300

2.94%

0%

Virginia

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0.50%

Virginia Tech

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-3.73%

Western Kentucky

33/1

+3300

2.94%

-0,91%

Air Force

40/1

+4000

2.44%

0%

Appalachian State

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-0.50%

Arizona

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-0.50%

Kentucky

40/1

+4000

2.44%

0%

Rutgers

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-0.51%

South Alabama

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-1.01%

Syracuse

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-1.91%

West Virginia

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-0.50%

Wisconsin

40/1

+4000

2.44%

-1.01%

Boise State

50/1

+5000

1.96%

-31.94%

Maryland

50/1

+5000

1.96%

0%

Mississippi State

50/1

+5000

1.96%

-0.73%

North Carolina

50/1

+5000

1.96%

-4.71%

Wake Forest

50/1

+5000

1.96%

0%

Louisiana Tech

66/1

+6600

1.49%

0%

Northern Illinois

66/1

+6600

1.49%

0%

Troy

66/1

+6600

1.49%

0%

Arkansas State

80/1

+8000

1.23%

0%

Bowling Green

80/1

+8000

1.23%

0%

FIU

80/1

+8000

1.23%

0%

Mississippi State

80/1

+8000

1.23%

0%

San Diego State

80/1

+8000

1.23%

0%

Wyoming

80/1

+8000

1.23%

0%

Central Michigan

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Kent State

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

New Mexico State

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Purdue

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Rice

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Temple

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Tulsa

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

UAB

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

UConn

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

ULM

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Utah State

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Washington State

100/1

+10000

0.99%

0%

Matt Moscona

Publisher