By Chris Marler
Stat of the Day
Since 1998, there have been a total of 12 Sweet 16 games that went to overtime. The winners of those 12 games are a combined 3-9 against the spread in their next game. (via Mike Calabrese of ActionNetwork)
Alabama-Duke
- Duke is 5th in D1 in Scoring Defense, allowing just 62.5 ppg
- Alabama’s Total Points prop is set at 84.5. Arizona scored 93 against them on Thursday. They’re the only team to score over 78 points on the Blue Devils all season.
Getting to the line
ALABAMA
- Alabama is 331st in the country in fouls per game, averaging 18.9 per game.
- A big part of Alabama’s offense is getting to the free-throw line. They are 6th in D1 in FT attempts per game at 25.5 and 7th in FT made per game at 18.3.
DUKE
- Duke is +21 in fouls in the postseason and has only been called for more fouls than their opponent once in those six games.
- Duke ranks top 20 nationally in opponent free-throw attempts and makes per game. In six postseason games, they’re +44 in free-throw attempts versus their opponents. Duke’s opponents haven’t attempted more than 10 free throws in a game in four of the six games this postseason, while Duke is averaging 21.3 FT attempts per game during that stretch.
- Duke’s opponents average only 14.6 free-throw attempts per game. That ranks 15th in the country for fewest allowed per game.
- Duke averages just 9.3 turnovers per game which is 7th best in D1.
- After playing Auburn on December 4th, Duke didn’t play another ranked opponent for 101 days during the season until they faced No. 13 Louisville in the ACC Championship. Duke has only 3 wins this season against Top 25 teams.
🔢🏀 NUMBERS TO KNOW 🏀🔢
Alabama vs Duke
Bama is 6th in the country in FT Attempts per game (25.5).
However, Duke’s opponents have 10 or less FTs in 4 of their 6 games this postseason. #MarchMadness #EliteEight pic.twitter.com/rITAsp9VRC
— Chris Marler (@VernDumbquist) March 29, 2025
Florida-Texas Tech
Florida’s total point prop against Texas Tech is 82.5. The Gators have scored 83 or more in nine of their last ten.
Walter Clayton AKA Walter Trey-ton
- Clayton has hit at least two 3PT FGs in 16 straight games and 21 of his last 22 games overall. He’s also attempted eight or more threes in seven of his last nine games, including three games with 11 attempts from deep.
- He’s hit 24 total 3Pt FGs in six postseason games this year and is shooting 48.9 percent from three. In the first thre games of the NCAA tournament, he’s 11-of-23 from deep for 47.8 percent.
