Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images
By Matt Moscona
No team made a bigger jump in their College Football Playoff odds after Week 1 than LSU. After beating Clemson on the road, the Tigers saw their CFP odds increase 21.97%. Brian Kelly squad is now -175 (63.64%)to make the 12-team field.
On the other hand, after their blowout loss at Florida State, Alabama’s odds tumbled 24.64% to +175. Kalen DeBoer’s team is now a longs hot with just a 36.36% chance of making the field.
There are four columns for the spreadsheet below:
- Fractional odds (currently)
- Moneyline odds (currently)
- % chance according to the odds to make the playoff (currently)
- % chance change from opening odds to make the playoff
|
Odds |
Moneyline |
Playoff % |
Playoff % change |
|
|
Ohio State |
1/10 |
-1000 |
90.91% |
+14.54% |
|
Penn State |
1/5 |
-500 |
83.33% |
+12.74% |
|
Georgia |
4/11 |
-275 |
73.33% |
-1.90% |
|
Oregon |
1/2 |
-200 |
66.67% |
-5.55% |
|
Texas |
10/19 |
-190 |
65.52% |
-9.48% |
|
LSU |
4/7 |
-175 |
63.64% |
+21.97% |
|
Notre Dame |
10/17 |
-170 |
62.96% |
+2.96% |
|
Clemson |
10/13 |
-130 |
56.52% |
0% |
|
Miami FL |
20/21 |
-105 |
51.52% |
+18.19% |
|
Alabama |
7/4 |
+175 |
36.36% |
-24.64% |
|
Ole Miss |
2/1 |
+200 |
33% |
-8.67% |
|
Michigan |
11/5 |
+220 |
31.25% |
0% |
|
Auburn |
12/5 |
+240 |
29.41% |
+8.36% |
|
Texas A&M |
12/5 |
+240 |
29.41% |
0% |
|
Florida |
5/2 |
+250 |
28.57% |
+8.57% |
|
Tennessee |
3/1 |
+300 |
25% |
-5.77% |
|
Utah |
3/1 |
+300 |
25% |
+8.33% |
|
Oklahoma |
13/4 |
+325 |
23.53% |
+7.53% |
|
Louisville |
15/4 |
+375 |
21.05% |
-2.21% |
|
USC |
15/4 |
+375 |
21.05% |
+5.67% |
|
Texas Tech |
4/1 |
+400 |
20% |
+2.61% |
|
Arizona State |
17/4 |
+425 |
19.05% |
+0.93% |
|
Florida State |
9/2 |
+450 |
18.18% |
+10.49% |
|
SMU |
19/4 |
+475 |
17.39% |
-4.83% |
|
Iowa State |
5/1 |
+500 |
16.67% |
+7.58% |
|
TCU |
11/2 |
+550 |
15.38% |
+5.38% |
|
Indiana |
6/1 |
+600 |
14.29% |
+0.50% |
|
Georgia Tech |
6/1 |
+600 |
14.29% |
+2.53% |
|
South Carolina |
15/2 |
+750 |
11.76% |
-8.24% |
|
Missouri |
15/2 |
+750 |
11.76% |
+3.05% |
|
Illinois |
31/4 |
+775 |
11.43% |
-2.35% |
|
Kansas |
33/4 |
+825 |
10.81% |
+3.12% |
|
Baylor |
9/1 |
+900 |
10% |
-4.81% |
|
Washington |
9/1 |
+900 |
10% |
+0.48% |
|
Nebraska |
10/1 |
+1000 |
9.09% |
-3.81% |
|
Iowa |
10/1 |
+1000 |
9.09% |
-3.41% |
|
Duke |
12/1 |
+1200 |
7.69% |
0% |
|
Kansas State |
14/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
-10.72% |
|
BYU |
14/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
-6.66% |
|
Memphis |
8/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
-4.44% |
|
Tulane |
8/1 |
+1400 |
6.67% |
-4.44% |
|
James Madison |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
-1,81% |
|
Liberty |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
-2.45% |
|
Minnesota |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
-0.79% |
|
UNLV |
16/1 |
+1600 |
5.88% |
-0.62% |
|
Colorado |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
-0.62% |
|
Houston |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
-0.62% |
|
Pittsburgh |
18/1 |
+1800 |
5.26% |
0% |
|
California |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
+0.40% |
|
Michigan State |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
-1.41% |
|
Navy |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
-1.41% |
|
NC State |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
-2.03% |
|
Texas State |
25/1 |
+2500 |
3.85% |
-1.41% |
|
North Texas |
28/1 |
+2800 |
3.45% |
-1.49% |
|
Arkansas |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0,91% |
|
Boston College |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0.51% |
|
Oklahoma State |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
0% |
|
South Florida |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0.50% |
|
UCF |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0,91% |
|
UCLA |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0,91% |
|
UTSA |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-1.41% |
|
Vanderbilt |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
0% |
|
Virginia |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0.50% |
|
Virginia Tech |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-3.73% |
|
Western Kentucky |
33/1 |
+3300 |
2.94% |
-0,91% |
|
Air Force |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
0% |
|
Appalachian State |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-0.50% |
|
Arizona |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-0.50% |
|
Kentucky |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
0% |
|
Rutgers |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-0.51% |
|
South Alabama |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-1.01% |
|
Syracuse |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-1.91% |
|
West Virginia |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-0.50% |
|
Wisconsin |
40/1 |
+4000 |
2.44% |
-1.01% |
|
Boise State |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
-31.94% |
|
Maryland |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
0% |
|
Mississippi State |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
-0.73% |
|
North Carolina |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
-4.71% |
|
Wake Forest |
50/1 |
+5000 |
1.96% |
0% |
|
Louisiana Tech |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
0% |
|
Northern Illinois |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
0% |
|
Troy |
66/1 |
+6600 |
1.49% |
0% |
|
Arkansas State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
0% |
|
Bowling Green |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
0% |
|
FIU |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
0% |
|
Mississippi State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
0% |
|
San Diego State |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
0% |
|
Wyoming |
80/1 |
+8000 |
1.23% |
0% |
|
Central Michigan |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Kent State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
New Mexico State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Purdue |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Rice |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Temple |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Tulsa |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
UAB |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
UConn |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
ULM |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Utah State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |
|
Washington State |
100/1 |
+10000 |
0.99% |
0% |

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