2026 SEC Win Totals: Three Teams that will go over

Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

By Chris Marler

With Spring Practice ending in late April, the latest win totals from various sportsbooks have been updated. There was very little movement in the actual totals themselves, but the odds on the over or under for some schools did change. In some cases it changed significantly. Here are three teams destined to go over their total.

LSU – Over 8.5 Wins

What used to be America’s most universally loved team at the end of the 2010s has now become the biggest villain in the sport. That’s mostly because of their chronically tweeting, pilates loving head coach. You don’t have to like Lane Kiffin. That’s more than understandable. You do however have to respect his past success and track record for winning. Whether Ole Miss fans want to believe this or not, Kiffin also won way more with way less at his previous stop.

There’s so much to like about this LSU team, and it feels like it would almost be impossible to fail with the talent on the roster, the coaches on the staff, and the way the schedule lines up. They have to get to nine wins, and their five biggest games are Clemson, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Alabama, and Texas. They get four of those five at home. The biggest concern shouldn’t be if they can win two of those five (which would subsequently put them at three losses). It’s can Lane Kiffin avoid the let down game where his team loses to someone they shouldn’t. We saw that against Kentucky and Florida in 2024 and several other times before that season.

Here are Fanduel’s 2026 SEC win totals… What is your reaction, and which team(s) are definitely going over / under their total? pic.twitter.com/lPd52YfoB6

— College Football with Sam (@CFBwSam) March 17, 2026

Oklahoma – Over 7.5 Wins

Oklahoma is a sleeper team to make the CFP once again, and just like last year, not enough people seem to be talking about them. The Sooners return so much from last year’s unit, and they really didn’t lose anyone of significance to the transfer portal.

Last year their ten wins in the regular season were driven by an elite defense and an offense that was just good enough to not lose games. This year will be much different. John Mateer is going into year two as a starter in the SEC and has a year of experience and a lot of continuity working in his favor. His offensive coordinator and top receiving targets return this year.

The schedule is also a big factor. They do have games against Texas and Georgia away from home. Outside of that though, they should be favored in at least eight of their ten other games with Texas A&M and a road trip to Michigan potentially pitting them as underdogs. Four of their other six conference games (minus UGA, Texas, and Texas A&M) are against teams with losing records a year ago, and they get South Carolina, Ole Miss, Florida, Texas A&M and Kentucky all at home. Hammer the over.

Georgia – Over 9.5 Wins

This is a system play at this point. Georgia’s offense isn’t as explosive as it was in their 2022 and 2023 seasons. They throw the ball 40 percent of the time at or behind the line of scrimmage, and the run game wasn’t as dominant last year as it has been in year’s past. They don’t need it to be, though. The defense that Georgia is bringing back in 2026 is going to be the best defense they’ve had since 2022. The depth on the defensive front as well as the secondary are finally back to Kirby Smart’s standard. They have ridiculous talent everywhere on the defense and of the eight players they lost to the NFL Draft, only three of them were off the defense.

Georgia is on a revenge tour in 2026. I’d take that roster and Kirby Smart with a chip on his shoulder to cover 9.5 wins if they were playing in the NFC South to be honest. Their schedule for this season though, sets up beautifully. They have road games at Alabama and Ole Miss who should both take a step back from 2025. Their non-conference slate is incredibly easy and all three of those games are at home. Besides Alabama, every other team they face this year is projected to win 7.5 games or less.

It’s Georgia and everyone else in the SEC. Take the over.