LSU win total holds steady as SEC odds shift for 2026

By Matt Moscona

Oddsmakers have released their early outlook for the 2026 college football season, and LSU finds itself in a familiar spot. Despite roster movement still ongoing in the transfer portal, the Tigers opened with a win total of 8.5 at BetOnline.ag — unchanged from their 2025 mark.

While LSU held steady, much of the SEC saw notable movement. Texas A&M posted one of the biggest jumps in the league, rising two games to 8.5, while Vanderbilt surged by three wins to 6. Florida also climbed to 7.5, signaling growing confidence in Gainesville.

On the flip side, Tennessee experienced one of the sharpest drops in the conference, falling from 9.5 to 7.5. Ole Miss also dipped to 7.5 after opening at nine a year ago.

At the top of the league, Georgia and Texas share the highest projected win totals at 9.5, reinforcing the SEC’s expected pecking order heading into 2026.

Here’s the direct link to the win totals by conference:

ACC:          https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaf-team-wins/acc-regular-season-wins

Big Ten:      https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaf-team-wins/big-ten-regular-season-wins

Big 12:       https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaf-team-wins/big-12-regular-season-wins

SEC:          https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaf-team-wins/sec-regular-season-wins

Independent:     https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaf-team-wins/non-conference

The spreadsheet below has the opening win totals from 2025 and the current opening win totals from 2026.

Notes:

1. Teams with the biggest increase in win total from 2025 to 2026:
   1. ACC
      1. Virginia:              +2½
      2. Pittsburgh:         +2
   2. Big Ten
      1. Indiana/NW:      +2
   3. Big 12
      1. Texas Tech:       +2½
      2. Arizona:             +2
   4. SEC
      1. Vanderbilt:         +3
      2. Texas A&M:       +2
2. Teams with the biggest decrease in win total from 2026 to 2026:
   1. ACC
      1. North Carolina: -3
      2. BC/Clemson:     -2
   2. Big Ten
      1. Michigan State: -2
   3. Big 12
      1. ASU/Colorado/Iowa State/Kansas:    -2
   4. SEC
      1. Tennessee:        -2
      2. Ole Miss:           -1½
3. Most wins by Conference
   1. ACC:                   Miami with 10½
   2. Big Ten:               Indiana/Oregon with 10½
   3. Big 12:               Texas Tech with 11
   4. SEC:                  Georgia/Texas with 9½
4. Least wins by Conference
   1. ACC:                   BC/Stanford with 3½
   2. Big Ten:              Michigan State/Purdue with 3½
   3. Big 12:               Colorado with 4½
   4. SEC:     Arkansas/Kentucky/Mississippi State with 4½