SEC Win Totals shift early after opening lines

By Chris Marler

Late last week, FanDuel released their initial win totals for SEC Football teams this season. We wrote about it Saturday giving our three best plays of the season. I highly doubt that the folks at  FanDuel read the article. Nevertheless, two of the three totals we said to go over on have increased immediately less than a week later. 

Four teams in the conference saw their total change from the initial numbers released. That includes South Carolina, Kentucky, Florida, and Tennessee. Of those four teams, just one saw their number decrease and that was Kentucky from 5.5 to 4.5 wins. 

Win Totals that moved 

South Carolina – 5.5 to 6.5 wins (+118)

Kentucky – 5.5 to 4.5 Wins (-140)

Florida – 6.5 to 7.5 wins (+116)

Tennessee – 6.5 to 7.5 (+104)

Updated SEC Win Totals 

Alabama – 8.5 Wins 

Arkansas – 4.5 Wins

Auburn – 6.5 Wins 

Florida – 7.5 Wins 

Georgia – 9.5 Wins 

Kentucky – 4.5 Wins 

LSU – 8.5 Wins 

Mississippi State – 4.5 Wins 

Missouri – 6.5 Wins 

Oklahoma – 7.5 Wins 

Ole Miss – 7.5 Wins 

South Carolina – 6.5 Wins 

Tennessee – 7.5 Wins 

Texas – 9.5 Wins 

Texas A&M – 8.5 Wins 

Vanderbilt – 6.5 Wins 

Takeaways 

Only six teams out of the 16 in the league currently have plus odds to cover their win total – Arkansas (+120), Florida (+116), South Carolina (+118), Tennessee (+104), Texas (+106), and Vanderbilt (+138). That includes all three teams who saw an increase in their win totals. 

Of the teams that have the best odds to cover their totals, Missouri, Ole Miss, Georgia, LSU and Alabama appear to be most likely to go over. Missouri is -150 to cover their 6.5 wins, LSU is -148 to cover 8.5 wins, Ole Miss is -148 to cover 7.5 wins, Georgia is -138 to cover 9.5 wins, and Alabama is -130 to go over 8.5 wins.